The cusp of this reversal is evident in recent developments in three important areas of naval warfare.
Still in its nascent stage, DARPA's Anti-Submarine Warfare (ASW) Continuous Trail Unmanned Vessel (ACTUV) will conduct long duration missiles to track the increasing numbers of air independent and diesel submarines. If successful, this platform can be produced in sizable numbers, leaving the highly capable but expensive Virginia class nuclear attack submarines or maritime patrol aircraft to finish off adversary diesels.
Mine clearance operations are slow and dangerous. This past week in the Middle East, several navies demonstrated the efficacy of large numbers of unmanned underwater vehicles in mine hunting and clearing operations. Although a number of traditional mine-hunting ships participated during IMCMEX, many of the simulated mines were found and neutralized with AUVs operated from zodiacs and other small boats launched from amphibious mother-ships. This combination of systems -- small boats and AUVs -- is affordable and rapidly deployable by air, providing navies facing mine fields with time and space to allow for the arrival of slower mine sweepers.
The Aegis air defense system has demonstrated amazing capabilities against aircraft, cruise and ballistic missiles, and even satellites, but the technology is limited against saturation attacks simply by a ship's magazine capacity. Directed energy weapons may one day handle the lopsided number of anti-ship attackers. Could naval drones someday present another alternative for missile defense? In the video below, three quadrocopters act in concert to throw and catch a small ball using a net. Could future missile defense systems use small, highly-coordinated UAVs to "catch" incoming missiles with sticky nets or some other mechanism? A missile traveling at Mach+ speeds doesn't necessarily need to be destroyed, just aerodynamically destabilized.
Sound far-fetched? Only a decade ago, idea of operating small unmanned platforms in unison using computer algorithms and miniature sensors as depicted in the above film would be considered science fiction. Interestingly, the Navy has begun experimentation with a small electric octo-copter known as the Cloak Blade.